Hongkongers expect protests to quiet down after local elections

RIWI Global Civil Unrest Tracking

By: Danielle Goldfarb

Data is current as of November 29 at 23:59 Hong Kong Standard Time (GMT +8).

How will Hongkongers respond to the landslide election victory for pro-democracy candidates? Will the protests accelerate or weaken? In the week before and after the November 24, 2019 local elections, RIWI heard from over 3,400 Hongkongers about their feelings of safety, protest intensity, protest support, and protest participation. RIWI data show that Hongkongers feel safer and expect protest activity to die down compared with before the vote.

 

Each day, RIWI gathered data from a fresh group of Hong Kong respondents. The respondents included those who considered themselves protestors (about one-fifth of respondents) and those who did not. Anyone online in Hong Kong (90 percent of Hongkongers are online) has an equal chance of being randomly exposed to RIWI’s questions. This contrasts with traditional survey methods that draw on a vastly narrower group of (often) paid, habitual survey-takers that tend to be the most vocal and may be more likely to say they participate in protests.

As with RIWI data collection in all countries, RIWI did not collect, process, store or transfer personally identifiable data in Hong Kong, allowing respondents to provide their views freely and securely, reducing social desirability bias. The number of respondents varies per question as RIWI does not incentivize respondents to participate nor complete the questions.

RIWI tracks economic, social, public safety, and political trends in real-time in all countries. For additional breakdowns of this dataset, and for updated data in real-time, please contact:

Lucas Ria, Lead, Private Enterprise
416-356-2355 | www.riwi.com
lucas@riwi.com

Continue reading Hongkongers’ views on the protests here.

Featured image: Winson Wong